Naters vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
84.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.3%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
NAT
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ECH
1 - 1
NAT
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NAT
2 - 1
FCA
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FRI
2 - 0
NAT
48%
25%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NAT
0 - 5
LAU
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 3
FCL
27%
24%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 3
BAS
30%
23%
47%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
SAS
3 - 0
FCL
47%
23%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
4 - 3
GCZ
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 1
SAS
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |