Naters vs La Chaux-de-Fonds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
53.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
16º
12º
47
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAT
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 2
POR
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ECH
1 - 1
NAT
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TER
1 - 2
NAT
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 3
SER
15%
20%
64%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
La Chaux-de-Fonds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LAC
2 - 0
MEY
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 1
LAC
29%
21%
50%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LAC
3 - 1
FCM
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LAC
3 - 1
FCK
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
LAC
21%
19%
60%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |