Naters vs Echallens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NAT
1 - 2
BUL
57%
20%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
NAT
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NAT
0 - 3
LEM
31%
24%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
NAT
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 4
NAT
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
DUD
3 - 2
ECH
50%
22%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ECH
2 - 1
FCM
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCM
2 - 5
ECH
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ECH
0 - 1
MEY
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BUL
2 - 4
ECH
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |