Naters vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ECH
1 - 1
NAT
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MEY
1 - 1
NAT
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NAT
1 - 2
DUD
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FCM
0 - 1
NAT
34%
25%
42%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NAT
0 - 4
STA
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BAV
3 - 0
DUD
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
FCM
1 - 2
BAV
20%
22%
59%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAV
1 - 2
STA
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BAV
6 - 2
YVE
40%
24%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAU
1 - 1
BAV
58%
21%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |