Næstved vs Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
AKA
2 - 1
NAE
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
NAE
0 - 2
HER
39%
24%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VFF
1 - 2
NAE
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
NAE
5 - 3
THI
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
NAE
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 0
SKI
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
KOL
4 - 2
ROS
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ROS
3 - 1
LFA
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
KBK
0 - 3
ROS
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ROS
1 - 2
SIF
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |