Europa League 1/32
Global 2-8
Næstved vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
PSV
7 - 0
NAE
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
MOL
4 - 0
NAE
89%
8%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
NAE
0 - 3
MOL
15%
19%
66%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
NAE
2 - 2
F95
26%
21%
53%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
F95
1 - 0
NAE
81%
12%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 1
PSV
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 0
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
PSV
7 - 0
NAE
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
FEY
2 - 4
PSV
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |