Næstved vs Nykøbing FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
11º
10º
3
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 46 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 40 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
17 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 35 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 30 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 29 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 29 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 28 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 21 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
72.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 2
MID
28%
26%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IIF
2 - 2
NAE
43%
24%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
NAE
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 1
NAE
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 3
HEL
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 4
IIF
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
4 - 0
LFA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 2
BFR
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 2
BFR
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 0
LFA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |