Næstved vs Hillerød analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
11º
30
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 1
NAE
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BBK
0 - 7
NAE
6%
12%
83%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
NAE
3 - 3
HBK
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 0
NAE
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
NAE
0 - 1
B93
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 1
B93
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 2
LYN
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 2
SON
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AAB
3 - 0
HIL
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 6
HIL
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |