Næstved vs Hellerup IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
9º
6º
10
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 43 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 37 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 26 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 26 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 21 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 18 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
56% | 75.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 0
NAE
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NAE
2 - 1
FCH
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 2
HIL
20%
21%
60%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
NAE
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NAE
2 - 1
FCH
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
2 - 0
IIF
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 0
HEL
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 2
ROS
14%
18%
68%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 2
BFR
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 0
HOL
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |