Næstved vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
THI
4 - 1
NAE
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NAE
0 - 1
VFF
37%
24%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
SON
1 - 1
NAE
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
NAE
3 - 2
FRE
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
HEL
0 - 0
NAE
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
LYN
2 - 0
FRE
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 3
THI
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 0
VEJ
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
KBK
0 - 0
FRE
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
FRE
4 - 1
FRE
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |