Næstved vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
11º
35
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 1
ACH
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
B93
0 - 0
NAE
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
NAE
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 1
NAE
65%
19%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 3
BFR
59%
21%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 3
AAB
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HOB
0 - 2
FRE
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
SON
29%
22%
49%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
FRE
32%
22%
46%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MID
7 - 0
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |