Næstved vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
6º
6º
21
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HOB
0 - 0
NAE
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAE
2 - 3
FCH
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HVI
0 - 4
NAE
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAE
1 - 1
HBK
53%
25%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NAE
2 - 0
HIL
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HVI
3 - 2
FRE
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 0
HOB
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
VEN
2 - 1
FRE
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 1
LFA
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HBK
0 - 1
FRE
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |