Næstved vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
NAE
0 - 3
FCK
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
HVI
1 - 2
NAE
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
NAE
2 - 2
AMA
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NAE
5 - 0
KBK
61%
21%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
HOB
0 - 3
NAE
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
FRE
0 - 1
AAB
17%
21%
62%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 2
FRE
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
THI
2 - 4
FRE
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 2
VFF
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
HER
4 - 2
FRE
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |