Europa League 1/32
Global 2-3
Næstved vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
F95
1 - 0
NAE
81%
12%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
WUP
2 - 2
F95
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
F95
2 - 0
STU
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
F95
1 - 0
NAE
81%
12%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
HER
2 - 0
F95
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
F95
2 - 5
KAI
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |