Næstved vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HBK
0 - 1
NAE
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NAE
1 - 0
LYN
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 1
NAE
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NAE
1 - 1
FCH
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LFA
4 - 2
NAE
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FCK
4 - 2
AGF
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AGF
2 - 2
AAB
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OBK
2 - 2
AGF
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ESB
0 - 0
AGF
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
AAF
1 - 5
AGF
6%
13%
80%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | +1 |