Al Nasr vs Shabab Al Obour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
16º
15º
46
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
NAS
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 2
MAS
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
NAS
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 2
WAD
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
BUF
0 - 0
NAS
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Shabab Al Obour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MSA
0 - 0
ELS
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
WAD
0 - 1
MSA
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ASY
4 - 1
MSA
87%
10%
4%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
SMO
1 - 0
MSA
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |