Al Nasr vs Kahraba Ismailia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
16º
15º
27
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
SHD
1 - 0
NAS
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 0
MSA
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
NAS
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 2
MAS
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
NAS
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kahraba Ismailia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
KAI
1 - 1
ELS
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
WAD
2 - 1
KAI
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
KAI
0 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ITE
4 - 1
KAI
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
GEI
2 - 1
KAI
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |