Al Nasr vs Al Merreikh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ELD
1 - 0
NAS
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
NAS
3 - 0
BSC
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ITE
1 - 1
NAS
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
NAS
0 - 1
ALT
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
MAS
1 - 0
NAS
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Al Merreikh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
AMP
2 - 3
PSU
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
EEE
2 - 0
AMP
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
AMP
0 - 1
PET
24%
28%
48%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
AMP
1 - 1
ELD
24%
27%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BSC
2 - 2
AMP
41%
25%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |