Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TAN
0 - 0
NAS
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ENP
3 - 0
NAS
79%
14%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SMO
4 - 1
NAS
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
NAS
0 - 4
ZAM
22%
29%
49%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
MOK
2 - 0
NAS
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ittihad Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 4
ISM
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
ISM
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ALI
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALM
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ENP
3 - 0
ALI
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |