Al Nasr vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.5%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
45.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
ELD
2 - 2
NAS
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
PET
1 - 0
NAS
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
NAS
1 - 1
GOU
29%
30%
42%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
MIS
2 - 1
NAS
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
NAS
0 - 0
ALM
24%
28%
48%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 0
MOG
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 1
MOK
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALA
17%
28%
55%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 0
ALA
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
5 - 0
ASY
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |