NAŠK vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NKK
3 - 1
NAS
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NAS
0 - 0
NKS
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SLA
14 - 0
NAS
61%
19%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ORI
4 - 0
NAS
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NAS
3 - 0
VAL
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VUK
6 - 0
VUT
64%
19%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 0
VUK
51%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
VUK
1 - 0
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SLA
0 - 0
VUK
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VUK
0 - 0
BEL
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |