Nasarawa United vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasarawa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NAS
2 - 0
SHO
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 0
NAS
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 1
MFM
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
KAN
2 - 0
NAS
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 1
KWA
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MFM
1 - 0
HEA
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
HEA
0 - 0
MFM
43%
29%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
KWA
2 - 1
HEA
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
NIG
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 1
HEA
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |