Nasarawa United vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasarawa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
WIK
1 - 2
NAS
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAS
2 - 1
KWA
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
KWA
2 - 0
NAS
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NAS
5 - 3
ABI
47%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
ENU
2 - 0
NAS
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
HEA
2 - 0
KAT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ADA
0 - 1
HEA
29%
31%
39%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
HEA
2 - 1
ADA
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
KAN
2 - 1
HEA
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HEA
1 - 1
WAR
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |