Nasarawa United vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasarawa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
ADA
2 - 1
NAS
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SUN
4 - 2
NAS
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
NAS
0 - 1
KWA
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AKW
1 - 1
NAS
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
NAS
1 - 1
PLA
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
HEA
1 - 1
KAN
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
KWA
0 - 1
HEA
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
HEA
1 - 0
PLA
28%
30%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WIK
1 - 0
HEA
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
HEA
1 - 0
JGS
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |