Nasaf Qarshi vs Surkhon Termez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
NAS
3 - 0
FKO
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 1
NAS
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAS
3 - 2
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
QOQ
0 - 1
NAS
48%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
QIZ
1 - 1
NAS
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
TER
1 - 0
BUN
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
QIZ
0 - 0
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAS
3 - 2
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
TER
0 - 0
MAS
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
TER
2 - 0
BUX
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |