Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
NAS
3 - 1
NEF
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
NAS
3 - 2
DSA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
NEF
0 - 2
NAS
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
SOG
0 - 2
NAS
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAS
2 - 1
FKL
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
QIZ
1 - 0
FKL
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
QIZ
3 - 1
SOG
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
FKL
3 - 1
QIZ
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
QIZ
0 - 1
PAK
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
LOK
1 - 3
QIZ
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |