Nasaf Qarshi vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
2º
45
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
NAS
3 - 1
SAA
37%
23%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FKO
1 - 3
NAS
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 1
BUN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 1
NAS
49%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
NAS
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
NEF
3 - 0
BUX
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
AND
59%
25%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLM
1 - 1
NEF
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
SOG
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 1
NEF
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |