Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AND
1 - 1
NAS
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NAS
2 - 1
QIZ
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 0
NAS
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
NAS
2 - 0
FKO
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
AIN
2 - 1
NAS
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 2
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BUN
2 - 2
NAV
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 1
OLM
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 1
DSA
50%
28%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
NAV
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |