Nasaf Qarshi vs Buxoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
OLM
0 - 1
NAS
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NAS
4 - 2
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
2 - 1
NAS
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
GUL
0 - 2
NAS
40%
26%
33%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
NAS
4 - 2
OLM
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
BUX
1 - 1
NEF
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FKL
2 - 1
BUX
52%
23%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
BUX
2 - 0
FKL
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
BUX
0 - 0
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
NEF
3 - 1
BUX
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |