Nasaf Qarshi vs Bunyodkor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
2º
37
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 1
NAS
49%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
NAS
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
TER
1 - 2
NAS
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 2
NAS
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 0
QIZ
63%
22%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bunyodkor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 2
BUX
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
BUN
32%
28%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BUN
2 - 3
TER
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BUN
2 - 1
AND
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 1
OLM
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |