Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Makhachkala II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
16º
8º
13
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 67 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 62 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 60 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 59 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 54 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 51 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 46 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 38 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 36 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
37.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 20 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
17º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nart Cherkessk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FOT
1 - 0
NCH
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
NCH
2 - 1
SKS
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
RUB
3 - 0
NCH
15%
17%
68%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -3 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 0
ALA
86%
10%
5%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 0
NCH
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Makhachkala II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DDA
0 - 4
LEG
17%
19%
63%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
NAL
2 - 0
DDA
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
DDA
1 - 2
BIO
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
SKC
3 - 0
DDA
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
DDA
1 - 3
FKP
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |