Närpes Kraft vs Oulun Luistinseura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
10º
9º
45
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JBK
1 - 3
NAR
37%
22%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 0
KUO
57%
19%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
NAR
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GBK
2 - 2
NAR
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 4
ROP
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oulun Luistinseura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OLS
5 - 2
ROP
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
OLS
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OLS
1 - 1
TP4
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AKA
3 - 0
OLS
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OLS
2 - 1
OTP
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |