Närpes Kraft vs Oulun Luistinseura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
10º
9º
45
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JBK
1 - 3
NAR
37%
22%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 0
KUO
57%
19%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
NAR
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GBK
2 - 2
NAR
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 4
ROP
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Oulun Luistinseura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OLS
5 - 2
ROP
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
OLS
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OLS
1 - 1
TP4
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AKA
3 - 0
OLS
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OLS
2 - 1
OTP
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |