Närpes Kraft vs OTP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
4º
4º
7
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GBK
3 - 2
NAR
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 2
KUO
50%
20%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
JBK
2 - 4
NAR
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 1
OPS
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
3 - 1
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OTP
6 - 2
OPS
37%
21%
42%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JPS
8 - 1
OTP
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
OTP
1 - 6
TP4
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 0
OTP
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
OTP
2 - 4
GBK
20%
22%
58%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |