Närpes Kraft vs OTP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-88%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
10º
9º
33
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIF
1 - 0
NAR
67%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 4
OLS
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JBK
1 - 3
NAR
37%
22%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 0
KUO
57%
19%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
NAR
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OTP
1 - 3
ROP
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 0
OTP
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OTP
2 - 1
TP4
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AKA
1 - 2
OTP
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GBK
0 - 2
OTP
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |