Närpes Kraft vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
4º
4º
17
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 1
NAR
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SJJ
2 - 3
NAR
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 2
TP4
40%
22%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAR
1 - 1
JPS
73%
15%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OTP
0 - 1
NAR
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
JPS
3 - 1
HER
52%
21%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
OTP
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 2
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
OPS
3 - 0
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
HER
1 - 7
TP4
29%
22%
50%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |