Närpes Kraft vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
PK3
2 - 1
NAR
16%
20%
65%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GBK
1 - 2
NAR
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
KER
1 - 2
NAR
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAR
3 - 1
OPS
21%
21%
59%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TP4
1 - 1
NAR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
GBK
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VIF
1 - 1
HER
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
MUS
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIF
1 - 2
HER
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HER
0 - 4
OPS
20%
20%
60%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -2 |