Närpes Kraft vs JIlves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCJ
3 - 2
NAR
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 2
NAR
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 5
ILV
28%
22%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIF
1 - 1
NAR
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAR
3 - 3
SPO
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
JIlves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
JIL
1 - 6
ILV
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TPV
6 - 0
JIL
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JIL
0 - 2
FCK
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
JIL
2 - 6
SPO
49%
23%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
5 - 1
JIL
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |