Närpes Kraft vs JIlves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 1
FCJ
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 3
NAR
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 5
ILV
41%
23%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
VIF
1 - 0
NAR
48%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
NAR
3 - 1
SPO
86%
10%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
JIlves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
JIL
0 - 3
ILV
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
TPV
3 - 0
JIL
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCK
1 - 0
JIL
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
JIL
1 - 2
SPO
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 3
JIL
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |