Närpes Kraft vs JBK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+145%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
4º
4º
36
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OPS
2 - 2
NAR
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
NAR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 2
OTP
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIF
1 - 0
NAR
67%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 4
OLS
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JBK
0 - 2
HER
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
JBK
1 - 1
ROP
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 2
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
KPV
0 - 2
JBK
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
JBK
2 - 2
FFJ
8%
16%
76%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |