Närpes Kraft vs JBK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+102%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
10º
9º
12
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
KUO
1 - 1
NAR
31%
21%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 0
GBK
43%
22%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ROP
1 - 2
NAR
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 3
FCV
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
JBK
0 - 2
ROP
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 0
JBK
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
JBK
0 - 2
TP4
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
AKA
0 - 0
JBK
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
JBK
2 - 2
OTP
61%
18%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |