Närpes Kraft vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
TPS
1 - 7
NAR
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
BK4
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
NAR
8 - 0
LPA
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 0
NAR
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
NAR
2 - 0
FCJ
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
ILV
1 - 4
SAL
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
LPA
2 - 3
ILV
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FCJ
1 - 2
ILV
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 0
IKI
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 0
AIF
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |