Narón BP vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narón BP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 5
NAR
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 0
PON
42%
26%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
NAR
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NAR
2 - 4
MES
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 0
RVI
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SOM
2 - 1
CDO
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
0 - 0
SOM
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SOM
2 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CER
1 - 0
SOM
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
NEG
0 - 1
SOM
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |