Nardò vs Lavello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 0
NAR
56%
25%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 2
CAS
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
BIS
31%
28%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
FBC
1 - 0
NAR
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 1
VIR
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lavello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
4 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BIS
1 - 2
LAV
44%
27%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
4 - 0
HYR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
LAV
36%
23%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
0 - 3
ASF
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |