Nardò vs Torrecuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ACI
2 - 1
NAR
27%
27%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 0
FRA
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 1
NAR
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
PIC
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NAR
1 - 1
FON
37%
28%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Torrecuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 2
RPO
60%
19%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
APR
2 - 1
TOR
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
TUR
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
TOR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 4
TOR
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |