Nardò vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
NAR
46%
24%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
FRA
55%
26%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AVH
1 - 1
NAR
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 0
RPO
54%
22%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 0
NAR
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
TAR
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 0
TAR
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 2
USV
41%
28%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 0
TAR
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 4
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |