Nardò vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 5
NAR
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 1
FBC
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
CSV
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 2
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 0
MDC
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
SSM
0 - 1
MDC
77%
13%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 0
SSM
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SSM
2 - 2
AGR
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BIS
3 - 2
SSM
64%
21%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SSM
2 - 2
ANZ
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |