Nardò vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RPO
0 - 0
NAR
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
SSM
62%
23%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TUR
0 - 1
NAR
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
NAR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RAA
1 - 1
PIC
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SSE
2 - 0
RAA
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RAA
0 - 2
FCF
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
RAA
39%
26%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RAA
2 - 2
POM
34%
27%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |