Nardò vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CYN
2 - 3
NAR
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 1
SSM
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 5
NAR
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 1
FBC
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
CSV
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 1
MDC
63%
19%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 0
SSE
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SSE
6 - 3
AGR
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BIS
2 - 1
SSE
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SSE
2 - 1
ANZ
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |