Nardò vs Potenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 2
NAR
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 0
RAA
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RPO
0 - 0
NAR
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
SSM
62%
23%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TUR
0 - 1
NAR
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Potenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RPO
1 - 0
SFM
91%
7%
2%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 2
RPO
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RPO
0 - 0
NAR
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PIC
5 - 3
RPO
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RPO
3 - 3
FBC
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |