Nardò vs Virtus Matino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
1 - 1
HYR
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 2
AUD
12%
22%
66%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 3
NAR
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 2
NOC
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
NAR
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Matino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PVM
1 - 1
CAS
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PVM
3 - 2
FBC
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
PVM
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PVM
1 - 2
VIR
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ASF
2 - 2
PVM
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |